A stochastic analysis of the impact of volatile world agricultural polices on European and UK agriculture

Date published: 01 December 2010

Traditionally, the FAPRI-UK modelling system has generated deterministic Baseline projections based on normal weather conditions, specific macro-economic and other exogenous assumptions. These Baseline projections comprise single point estimates for prices, livestock numbers etc. for a ten year period.



  • Joan Moss, Lichun Zhang, Myles Patton and In Seck Kim (Queen’s University Belfast & Agri-Food & Biosciences Institute)
  • Julian Binfield and Patrick Westhoff (FAPRI, University of Missouri)